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2025 Advent Health 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard, predictions by top model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2025 Advent Health 400 at Kansas Speedway 10,000 times and revealed its NASCAR picks

By@Mike5754Updated: May 11, 2025 3:11PM UTC . 3 min read

Joey Logano captured his first win of the season last week in Texas. Now, the defending NASCAR Cup Series champion will try to continue building momentum on Sunday in the 2025 Advent Health 400 at Kansas Speedway. However, you can still find value betting Logano to win, with BetMGM Sportsbook offering +2000 for him to win outright in its latest 2025 Advent Health 400 odds. Meanwhile, Kyle Larson is the +375 favorite in the NASCAR at Kansas odds, won last year's May race at Kansas, and will start on the pole.

The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday and the race is scheduled for 267 laps around the 1.5-mile tri-oval. Before making any 2025 NASCAR at Kansas predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Advent Health 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2025 Advent Health 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.

McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then at Daytona, it was also high on William Byron despite +2000 odds and it went on to predict Kyle Larson as a +350 winner in Miami as well as his top five in Talladega for a +225 payout. The model also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. 

It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021 and has hit two winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Kansas 2025 and released its projections.

For the 2025 Advent Health 400, we can tell you the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he's a longshot at +2000 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Kansas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Kyle Busch finishes top 10 for a +110 payout at the 1.5-mile speedway. He's a potentially great value for your Kansas NASCAR prop bets.

The model is also targeting THREE OTHER drivers with odds of 18-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2025 Advent Health 400, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 20 winners!

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