2023 NFL futures, odds: Coach of the Year betting strategy includes best bets, key longshot values
We continue previewing the 2023 NFL season by breaking down the Coach of the Year odds and giving out our picks
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Over the past few weeks, we've taken a deep dive into NFL futures odds available at Caesars Sportsbook, creating a betting strategy from everything to Super Bowl and division winners to MVP and other major awards. Our last such piece (for now) breaks down Coach of the Year, an award that typically features a wide spread of odds available from book to book for different NFL head coaches. It's always important to shop around before making your bets, but in this particular award, I've seen coaches in the past that were among the favorites at one book and longest shots at others. It pays to do your homework!
Last year featured a particularly strong crop of candidates for the award. Doug Pederson turned the Jaguars from the worst team in football two years running into a playoff team; he finished third in the voting. Nick Sirianni changed the makeup of the Eagles offense in a way that steamrolled the NFC; he finished fifth. The winner? Brian Daboll, who faced a similar situation to Pederson in taking over for a woefully inept coach and pushing his team to a playoff appearance and even winning a game in the postseason.
I'll dig more into what recent history regarding award winners means for our strategy, break down the field for Coach of the Year below and identify who I think makes the most sense to back, including some longshots I think could be worth small-sized plays. But first, let's look at the full list of odds.
| Coach | Odds | Coach | Odds | |
| Arthur Smith | +1000 | Shane Steichen | +2200 | |
| Dan Campbell | +1000 | Bill Belichick | +2500 | |
| Sean Payton | +1200 | Kyle Shanahan | +2500 | |
| Matt Eberflus | +1300 | Jonathan Gannon | +3000 | |
| Robert Saleh | +1500 | Brian Daboll | +3000 | |
| Matt LaFleur | +1600 | Sean McVay | +3000 | |
| Mike McDaniel | +1800 | Mike Vrabel | +3000 | |
| Frank Reich | +2000 | Josh McDaniels | +3000 | |
| DeMeco Ryans | +2000 | Ron Rivera | +3000 | |
| Dennis Allen | +2000 | Mike McCarthy | +3500 | |
| Pete Carroll | +2000 | Sean McDermott | +3500 | |
| Brandon Staley | +2000 | Nick Sirianni | +3500 | |
| Mike Tomlin | +2000 | John Harbaugh | +4000 | |
| Kevin Stefanski | +2000 | Andy Reid | +4000 | |
| Zac Taylor | +2200 | Kevin O'Connell | +4000 | |
| Doug Pederson | +2200 | Todd Bowles | +5000 |
Which favorites are worth playing to win Coach of the Year, and which should be faded? And which candidates make for the best values to take home the award? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL Coach of the Year futures betting strategy from SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert!
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