On Monday, we began our run through the futures betting strategy for individual players awards with the 2023 NFL MVP, giving out several best bets that included one massive longshot with value. Now we'll move on to breaking down the field for Offensive Player of the Year to find potential winners based on the historical preferences of voters and offseason adjustments that should boost player production, among other things.
The co-favorites are Christian McCaffrey and Ja'Marr Chase at +1100, with Justin Jefferson right behind them at +1200. Jefferson won running away last year by securing 35 of 50 first-place votes after he led the league with 128 receptions (seventh all-time) and 1,809 receiving yards (sixth all-time). The previous year, Cooper Kupp finished second all-time in both categories for a single season and took home the OPOY award. Will another receiver make a run at history this year and secure the award?
I'll break down the fields for Offensive Player of the Year below and identify who I think makes the most sense to back, including some longshots I think could be worth small-sized plays. But first, let's look at the full list of odds for the award.
| Player | Odds | Player | Odds | |
| Christian McCaffrey | +1100 | Christian Watson | +6000 | |
| JaMarr Chase | +1100 | Jerry Jeudy | +6000 | |
| Justin Jefferson | +1200 | Alvin Kamara | +6000 | |
| Tyreek Hill | +1800 | Rhamondre Stevenson | +6000 | |
| Derrick Henry | +2000 | Josh Jacobs | +6000 | |
| Deebo Samuel | +2000 | Calvin Ridley | +6000 | |
| Cooper Kupp | +2000 | Amari Cooper | +6000 | |
| Davante Adams | +2000 | Chris Olave | +6000 | |
| Jonathan Taylor | +2000 | Javonte Williams | +6000 | |
| Stefon Diggs | +2000 | Russell Wilson | +8000 | |
| Nick Chubb | +2200 | Mike Williams | +8000 | |
| Saquon Barkley | +2200 | Kenneth Walker | +8000 | |
| Lamar Jackson | +2200 | Courtland Sutton | +8000 | |
| Justin Fields | +2200 | Michael Thomas | +8000 | |
| Travis Kelce | +2500 | Dameon Pierce | +8000 | |
| Garrett Wilson | +2500 | Geno Smith | +8000 | |
| Joe Burrow | +2500 | J.K. Dobbins | +8000 | |
| Jalen Hurts | +2500 | Tee Higgins | +8000 | |
| Amon-Ra St Brown | +2500 | Tyler Lockett | +8000 | |
| Patrick Mahomes | +2500 | Kareem Hunt | +8000 | |
| Aaron Rodgers | +3000 | Keenan Allen | +8000 | |
| Josh Allen | +3000 | Rashaad Penny | +8000 | |
| Justin Herbert | +3000 | Joe Mixon | +8000 | |
| Jaylen Waddle | +3500 | Jahmyr Gibbs | +8000 | |
| Breece Hall | +3500 | Kyler Murray | +8000 | |
| Tony Pollard | +3500 | D.K. Metcalf | +8000 | |
| DeAndre Hopkins | +3500 | D.J. Moore | +8000 | |
| CeeDee Lamb | +3500 | Daniel Jones | +8000 | |
| Trevor Lawrence | +4000 | Taysom Hill | +8000 | |
| Austin Ekeler | +4000 | Brock Purdy | +9000 | |
| Bijan Robinson | +4000 | Chris Godwin | +9000 | |
| Tua Tagovailoa | +4500 | Zay Flowers | +9000 | |
| Trey Lance | +4500 | Michael Pittman Jr. | +9000 | |
| Deshaun Watson | +4500 | Kenny Pickett | +10000 | |
| A.J. Brown | +4500 | Aaron Jones | +10000 | |
| Najee Harris | +5000 | George Kittle | +10000 | |
| Dak Prescott | +5000 | D'Andre Swift | +10000 | |
| Dalvin Cook | +5000 | Anthony Richardson | +10000 | |
| Travis Etienne | +5000 | Matthew Stafford | +10000 | |
| Terry McLaurin | +6000 | Isiah Pacheco | +10000 |
Which favorites are worth playing to win Offensive Player of the Year, and which should be faded? And which candidates make for the best values to take home the award? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL Offensive Player of the Year futures betting strategy from SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert!
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