The 2023 NASCAR playoffs will conclude with the final race of the season on Sunday. A champion will be crowned after the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship at Phoenix Raceway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 3 p.m. ET and Ryan Blaney, Christopher Bell, Kyle Larson and William Byron will be the four drivers in the title hunt. 

Larson is the +170 favorite to win the race in the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds followed by Blaney (+280), Byron (+325) and Bell (+450). Kevin Harvick (+1300), Joey Logano (+2000), Denny Hamlin (+2200), Tyler Reddick (+2500) and Martin Truex Jr. (+2800) are some of the top non-playoff contenders in this race.

Our proven NASCAR projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is red-hot in the 2023 season, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 15 winners since 2021! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship and released its projections.

The model knows Phoenix Raceway has hosted the NASCAR Cup Series since 1988 and served as the host of the championship finale since 2020. The highest finisher of the four drivers remaining in the postseason will win the season-long NASCAR Cup Series Championship but any of the drivers in the field can win the individual race. However, in all three years that the one-mile dogleg oval has hosted the title race, it has been a championship-eligible driver that took the checkered flag. Kyle Larson won the NASCAR Cup Series Championship in 2021 and he's the only driver of the four with a previous title win.

For the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship, we can tell you the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 60-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Phoenix odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: The model says Ryan Blaney, one of the Vegas favorites at +280, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Phoenix odds of 25-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship, and which EPIC longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard, all from the model that has already called the winners of nine races in 2023!