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2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational: SportsLine has surprising picks and predictions

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational 10,000 times and came up with a shocking leaderboard.

By@Mike5754Updated: Mar 06, 2019 8:40PM UTC . 2 min read
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We simulated this week's 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational 10,000 times, and there are some major surprises. Our proprietary computer model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has nailed four of the last eight majors entering the weekend and called Tiger Woods' deep run in last year's PGA Championship despite being a 25-1 long shot.

The model has been spot-on early in the 2018-19 season. It was high on champion Dustin Johnson at the 2019 WGC-Mexico Championship, projecting him as one of the top two contenders from the start. It also correctly predicted Brooks Koepka's (9-1) victory at the CJ Cup earlier this season. Additionally, it correctly called Bryson DeChambeau's (9-1) seven-shot victory at the 2019 Omega Dubai Desert Classic. Anyone who has followed the model is WAY up.

Now, it has simulated the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational and there are some HUGE surprises.

One huge shocker the model is calling for: Rory McIroy, the defending champion and the top Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all. Another surprise: Hideki Matsuyama, a 28-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday.

Also, the model says three other golfers with odds of 18-1 or longer make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it BIG.

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