The over hit in the last two games between these teams. The Leafs played in Ottawa just a couple of weeks ago, and the Leafs won 5-4 in the shootout. In this game, Mads Sogaard and former Sens net minder, Matt Murray both gave up four goals. Sogaard has kept opponents to just two goals per game in his last three, but I don't think that continues today against the Leafs. Meanwhile, Matt Murray has allowed his opponents at least four goals in seven of his last eight starts. We should see another high-scoring matchup between these teams. Take the over.

This is a rivalry game Saturday so anything could happen, but the Senators' playoff hopes, already not great, took a huge hit in Thursday's win over Philadelphia when defensemen Travis Hamonic (6G, 15A) and forward Derick Brassard (13G, 10A) were hurt and apparently both are out at least Saturday. The Sens already were without their two best defensemen in Thomas Chabot and Jakob Chychrun. Thus, a pretty solid price on the Leafs, who are still playing to lock up second in the Atlantic and home-ice advantage in the first round vs. Tampa Bay in a rematch of last year's stellar first-round series.