Let's go with a nice price on the Over, with history as as influencer. Argentina has managed at least a goal in its last 13 international matches, yet it has been bettered by the Netherlands with its 15 in a row. If that means each side is sure to strike once, only one more goal is needed for an Over. Bot sides are averaging two per game in the tournament. Messi, with three already, will be driven to get more in his likely Cup farewell. For the Dutch, the dynamic Memphis Depay has rebounded from injury and appears in tip-top form.

Sign me up at +140. I know their past two World Cup meetings have ended 0-0, but this isn’t 2006 or 2014. The Dutch have played 12 matches in 2022, and seven saw at least three goals. Argentina’s matches have gone over this number nine of 13 times. I think the winner here scores at least two, and I wouldn’t be surprised if both score at least twice. The Netherlands showed their ruthlessness against the USMNT, and while they won’t find as much space Friday, they will find enough to finish some chances. I think Messi will be bottled up some but will get one (probably a PK), and Julian Alvarez has scored four times in his past six matches.

These two international heavyweights have routinely met in the World Cup, and each of their last two World Cup meetings have ended in a 0-0 draw. The Netherlands also enter Friday’s quarterfinal unbeaten in their last 19 matches across all competitions and they've lost just one of their nine encounters against Argentina in regular time. I think we'll see a close match on Friday that could easily be decided in extra time, one of the main reasons why I’m backing the Dutch +0.5 (-140) in this matchup.