Expert Picks

I fully expect Argentina to win, but -170 is too rich for my blood, so I’m looking to the goal markets, and I think there’s value here at plus money (+105). If Argentina come out firing (and not subconsciously playing not to lose), they should rack up a few goals, even against a strong Mexico defense. Hirving Lozano and Henry Martin are good enough to find at least one, and El Tri know they likely need to win to have a chance to advance again. Lionel Messi, Angel Di Maria and Lautaro Martinez are certainly good enough to get at least two – and should get more if they are focused. With both teams likely pressing for goals, they’ll be vulnerable in the back, so I’m going over.

Argentina suffered a shocking upset against Saudi Arabia in their opener, which spells trouble for Mexico. Argentina had multiple goals disallowed in the first half of their 2-1 setback, and the South American side has dominated this series over the years. In fact, Argentina have won eight of their last nine games against Mexico. El Tri lacks a true No. 9, which was evident against Poland after Mexico managed just four shots on target despite holding over 60% of possession. Look for Lionel Messi to lead Argentina to their first victory at the 2022 World Cup.