Jon's Picks (10 Live)
While I do like the ML for a sprinkle, I'm also going to give out the Asian handicap here as well! I have Frankfurt winning this outright, but this is a nice way to take on a little less risk if you prefer that! Werder Bremen have not scored in their last four matches, which included losing to Stuttgart 4-0 at home. This is a team littered with injuries and struggles against high lines which Frankfurt have. I do believe Werder do score here, but not enough to take points off Frankfurt.
I can't give out a line for over 3.5 goals, but if I could I would sprinkle it on this match! Frankfurt had a brutal couple matches coming back from holiday break which saw them playing Dortmund and Stuttgart, two of the best teams in Germany and held their own. They're coming off a 3-3 draw and a 3-2 loss, but have shown some real gumption in their attack. Jonathan Burkhardt continues to show off and I'm expecting Frankfurt to press for three points.
We're getting that classic homefield advantage line for Werder Bremen, while Frankfurt historically struggle on the road. Even with their struggles, this is still a Frankfurt side who just scored three against Dortmund on the road, and who have tremendous attack right now. Jonathan Burkhardt, Can Uzun, Ritsu Doan and Robin Koch have all been playing tremendous football together this season, and a struggling to avoid relegation Werder Bremen won't stop them.
I'm on the over on this one and I'm expecting goals! I don't, however, really see a world where Augsburg end up leaving here with a clear cut three points. While Union Berlin's defense has been pretty poor as of late, their offense has been clicking just fine! They scored two against Mainz, one against Koln, three against Leipzig, and two against Bayern Munich. Goals have been flying lately and their strikers can keep this close. I have Union Berlin winning this 2-1.
Before I give this out, let me just saw I know that Augsburg haven't scored in their last three matches. No goals against Gladbach, Werder Bremen or Frankfurt. I believe with all my heart, that streak ends at home against Union Berlin. I don't only think BTTS hits (take this if you want), but I believe the over hits as well. Union Berlin just aren't the defensive unit they used to be. Two goals conceded to Mainz, one to Leipzig, three to Wolfsburg, two to Heidenheim, five to Bayern. They're all over the place right now and can't find consistency on defense. I expect goals here and Berlin to continue to struggle.