These two teams combined for four goals in the reverse fixture, and I expect we'll see a similar result on Saturday. Both teams have scored in four of Wolfsburg's past five games, and Union Berlin has conceded three or more goals twice in their last three fixtures. Both teams have conceded 50 or more goals in league play, so I'm backing the Over in this one.
This should be an entertaining game between two teams with poor defenses. Games featuring Wolfsburg have averaged 3.47 goals this season. Over 2.5 goals has paid off in 73% of their matches, as they’re strong in attack, but they struggle to keep clean sheets. Wolfsburg beat Union Berlin 3-1 at home earlier this season, but their away record is dreadful, so Union Berlin could gain revenge this weekend. Union’s games have averaged 2.86 goals this season, while their home matches have averaged 2.92 goals. For those reasons, over 2.5 goals looks like a great option in this game.
This is a perplexing number -- a fair amount too cheap in my opinion. Again, where a team sits in the table is not everything but it's something and FC Union Berlin is 11th in the Bundesliga (granted, been pretty bad in the New Year) with 32 points and Wolfsburg second-to-last with 21 points. And the Wolves have some injury concerns. They have lost seven in a row away and have never won at FC Union Berlin -- which will have a historic new manager for this one in Marie-Louise Eta. She is the first woman in charge of a men's team in the Bundesliga. Good for her, hope the debut is a success. Wolfsburg is on its third manager of the season.
