Won't lie in that I don't love this, but it's our only book with 3.5 and my ears perk up when I see an outlier number. I don't always play them, but I always look deeper. Have learned a lot about soccer in the past few months on totals. If they score in first- or second-half stoppage time, I'm losing. If they don't, I usually win. Seems simple enough. Perhaps dump stoppage time? Guess we can't just eliminate dudes rolling around on the ground acting shot. I will say both these clubs are among the worst defensively in the Premier League, but none of West Ham's past three have approached this Over and neither have Bournemouth's past three. Our model has 2.9 goals scored.