I'll start with the easy head-to-head stat that backs this. The over 2.5 has hit in their last four matches straight in league play between these two sides. In fact, the over 3.5 has hit as well in all four of those matches. The last four matches between these two have seen 21 goals, averaging over five goals scored. Palace knows how to score against City, they are one of the only teams in the Premier League that consistently gives them a real run for their money, and Palace are in tremendous form right now. I'm expecting BTTS to hit if you want to add that to get the juice down, but I think Palace keep this very close. Oh, and Haaland ATGS LOL.