We're backing up or ATS play with a shot on what should be a live underdog in Cal.

This Cal team lacks the poise of its predecessors, as proven last week when the Bears squandered a double-digit lead against a marginal Virginia Tech team and lost in overtime. Even so, they shouldn't be nearly a TD underdog against a Cavaliers club that might be the most fraudulent 7-1 in CFB history. The Cavaliers barely survived against UNC and Washington State in games they deserved to lose. Cal is good enough to take advantage of this decline.

The Cavaliers are in the ACC race and ranked in the top 20 of the AP Poll, but boy have they relied on a lot of luck to get there. Eventually it'll run out, and I think the odds of it doing so when they have to travel across the country to play Cal is as good a time as any.