If James Madison is completely focused in this very much potential trap game, the Dukes could win by 20+ because they are so dominant defensively and have the playoff in their sights. But 2026 Pac-12-bound Texas State is the Sun Belt's best offensive team by far, and this is basically the season -- win here and the Bobcats might get to six wins for a bowl -- as it has been disappointing. TSU has lost three straight, but all by 7 points or fewer (two in OT), and I was only playing this with the hook. Feels like a JMU blowout win or down to the wire, so only half unit. The Dukes are 1-4 ATS in their past five road league games.