Coach Tony Elliott has done a fantastic job in turning around this Virginia program. He's done it this season with an explosive offense and a defense that is opportunistic and getting timely stops. Offensively speaking, it has been a major struggle for UNC this season and if you're not able to threaten on that side of the ball, you have no shot vs Virginia.

It's Year One at North Carolina for coach Bill Belichick with 70 new players, and it hasn't been a good year so far as they're 2-4 and 3-3 against the spread. They come off a 21-18 loss at Cal last week and have lost three in a row, while Virginia has won five games in a row, covering four of them and five on the season. Virginia averages 40 points a game, but for some reason, I see this as a come-together moment for Carolina after so many troubling times this season. They're learning on the fly together. They're figuring things out, figuring out Belichick's way. I think North Carolina stands up and maybe wins this game, but plays a close one, closer than 10.5.