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Sat, Oct 047:30 pm UTCL&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
81 F
Virginia
Cavaliers
UVA
Last 5 ATS
W/L10-3
ATS8-5
O/U5-8-0
FINAL SCORE
30
-
27
Louisville
Cardinals
LVILLE
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-4
ATS4-8
O/U5-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
10-3
Win /Loss
8-4
8-5
Spread
4-8
5-8-0
Over / Under
5-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
UVA @ LVILLE
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
UVA @ LVILLE
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
UVA @ LVILLE
Subscribers Only

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34%
PUBLIC
66%
MONEY
8%
PUBLIC
92%
MONEY
Over16%
PUBLIC
Under84%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadLouisville -6.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+440
6-3 in Last 9 NCAAF Picks
+170
4-3 in Last 7 NCAAF ATS Picks
Eric's Analysis:

Considering Louisville is undefeated, even against lesser competition, I'm surprised this line is only less than a touchdown. Led by a veteran quarterback in Miller Moss and an underrated defense which has allowed under 270 yards per game thus far, I think the Cardinals take control early and put the game on ice in the third quarter. The letdown for UVA coming off the Florida State win will be sizable. Louisville 37, Virginia 20.

Pick Made: Oct 01, 11:47 pm UTC on Caesars
SpreadLouisville -7 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+267
6-3 in Last 9 UVA ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

Virginia undoubtedly looked the best it ever has in the Tony Elliott era in its upset of Florida State last week. The Cavaliers played well but also benefited from an onslaught of self-destruction from the Seminoles, who might have been looking ahead to their date with Miami. This is the ultimate letdown spot against a Louisville club that we would have liked in this matchup regardless, but see more value on amid the context for its opponent.

Pick Made: Sep 29, 4:48 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Virginia Cavaliers
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
OL
Monroe Mills
Undisclosed
Avatar
TE
Dakota Twitty
Leg
Avatar
CB
Jam Jackson
Undisclosed
Avatar
QB
Grady Brosterhous
Foot
Avatar
WR
Andre Greene Jr.
Undisclosed
Avatar
CB
Dre Walker
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Noah Vaughn
Ankle
Avatar
WR
Trevor Ladd
Undisclosed
Saturday, Dec 06, 2025
Avatar
WR
Trell Harris
Knee
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
RB
Xavier Brown
Foot
Louisville Cardinals
Thursday, Dec 18, 2025
Avatar
QB
Brady Allen
Transfer Portal
Wednesday, Dec 10, 2025
Avatar
WR
Chris Bell
Knee
Saturday, Nov 29, 2025
Avatar
RB
Jamarice Wilder
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Keyjuan Brown
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Isaac Brown
Lower Leg
Avatar
RB
Duke Watson
Undisclosed
Saturday, Nov 22, 2025
Avatar
LB
Antonio Watts
Undisclosed
Avatar
QB
Travis Egan
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Shammai Gates
Undisclosed
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
TE
Grant Houser
Knee
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