In both cases, these teams are extremely well-coached and should be well-rested coming off bye weeks. Overall, the Rebels have more athletes at the skill positions and they ability to strike quick if need be. Their defense has played much better since the opener and in totality, I give them the edge.

Miami (Ohio) has played two Big 10 teams, so they are getting the benefit of the doubt that they will turn things around against a Group of 5 opponent, but they played two bottom half of the Big 10 opponents. Miami lost a 4 year starter at QB to graduation as well as their top two WRs to the transfer portal and it's showing. UNLV has a lot of P4 transfers on their roster, and we think their talent wins them this game. Our model makes UNLV -10 in this matchup.

Miami-Ohio returns five starters from a 9-5 team last year, and the offense doesn’t return a single starter. It shows in their first two games on the road, losing 17-0 to Wisconsin and 45-17 at Rutgers. Their new quarterback, Dequan Finn, looked amazing at Toledo, but he can't get a pass off because his offensive linemen haven't protected him enough. He's got zero TDs and three picks. UNLV comes in at 3-0 on the season, and they got almost a completely new team from last year's 11-3 team, but the talent seems like an upgrade with new coach Dan Mullen. The Rebels are averaging 429 yards of a balanced attack on offense. This will be Miami-Ohio's first home game. UNLV.