Air Force just lost by 19 points as a 4-pt. favorite against Utah State. Utah State averaged 8.4 yards per play in the game. While Boise State doesn't have Ashton Jeanty and started off the season with a loss to USF, that was a good USF team, and the score was a little misleading with Boise committing several unforced errors. Air Force has kept this game close in each of the last three meetings which is likely why the spread is just 10, but we think this Air Force team could have a tough time running the ball, as Boise allowed just 3.4 ypc on the road last season, and Air Force rushed for just 3.7 ypc at home despite being an option offense.

The Broncos have won 6 of the last 7 meetings in this series, with 4 coming by double figures. We anticipate another dominant showing against an Air Force club that is looking to rebound from a 5-7 season but still has a ways to go based on last week's performance against Utah State, a blowout road loss.