Sorry have been invisible on platforms this week but spent a good chunk in the hospital with an awful bug; and I am the type who refuses to go to a hospital. COVID hit me back when, but that was skipping through daisies comparatively. Thanks to those who reached out on social wondering. Anyways, still a bit "off" but clear-headed enough to think this ML should be at least -180. Our model apparently much higher as it projects the Mustangs winning by 12. I figure why bother with a bad spread beat with the ML so off. Baylor looked bad in Week 1 losing at home by 14 to Auburn. SMU is 15-1 its past 16 at home, averaging 48.3 PPG in those.

Don't let SMU losing to Penn State in the playoffs cloud your judgement of them. In the 5 home games that Kevin Jennings started last season, SMU dominated and won each game by double-digits. Baylor averaged two yards less per rush on the road than at home. We expect SMU to have success on the ground after Auburn gashed them in Week 1.