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Tue, Sep 0212:00 am UTCKenan Stadium
67 F
TCU
Horned Frogs
TCU
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-4
ATS6-5
O/U6-6-0
FINAL SCORE
48
-
14
North Carolina
Tar Heels
UNC
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-8
ATS5-6
O/U5-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
7-4
Win /Loss
4-8
6-5
Spread
5-6
6-6-0
Over / Under
5-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TCU @ UNC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
TCU @ UNC
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
TCU @ UNC
Subscribers Only

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59%
PUBLIC
41%
MONEY
48%
PUBLIC
52%
MONEY
Over18%
PUBLIC
Under82%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadTCU -3.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+636
15-8 in Last 23 NCAAF ATS Picks
+70
4-3 in Last 7 UNC ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

If Bill Belichick were not coaching Carolina, it seems as if this spread would be closer to a touchdown than a field goal. Of course, if anyone can mastermind an upset, it is Wild Bill. However, he must fit 40 transfers into a new system — and against a ready-made team coming off a nine-win season. The Horned Frogs’ gifted defensive front should bedevil an O-line already thinned out by injuries. TCU’s seasoned secondary is a likely antidote for new QB Gio Lopez. The Frogs have no concerns about their QB, the standout Josh Hoover. Not to be overlooked is that college football is a different animal than the NFL. Even the pro GOAT might need time to adjust.

Pick Made: Sep 01, 4:54 pm UTC on Caesars
SpreadTCU -3.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+528
61-50-4 in Last 115 NCAAF Picks
+308
11-7-1 in Last 19 NCAAF ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

So much buzz about Bill Belichick's debut at UNC that we seem to be forgetting about the team on the other side. While this is effectively a brand-new roster for the Tar Heels, many are overlooking how dangerous visiting TCU might be. The Frogs were just a few plays from a 10 or 11-win season a year ago and Sonny Dykes returns a real gunslinger at QB in Josh Hoover, who passed for nearly 4,000 yards last fall. Perhaps Belichick has the element of surprise working in his favor, but would rather ride the battle-tested Frogs and their familiar QB than take a shot with Belichick and his QB Gio Lopez, who didn't arrive from South Alabama until after spring practices.

Pick Made: Sep 01, 2:48 pm UTC on Caesars
Over/UnderUnder 55.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+528
61-50-4 in Last 115 NCAAF Picks
+455
10-5-1 in Last 16 NCAAF O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

All eyes on Bill Belichick for this Chapel Hill opener that next season will take place in Ireland. We've found no consensus on UNC prospects from ACC sources, though our own thought is that Belichick has at least had time to take a look at what TCU was doing last season with Josh Hoover at QB, an edge that Sonny Dykes doesn't have on the TCU side. Still, the Heels might look choppy in the early going, as QB Gio Lopez came from South Alabama after spring practice, and his snaps in organized work with the team have come only in fall camp. Most of the featured games landed under in the first week and suspect this one might as well. Play TCU-North Carolina Under

Pick Made: Sep 01, 5:30 am UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

TCU Horned Frogs
Thursday, Jan 15, 2026
Avatar
RB
Kevorian Barnes
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
Jordan Dwyer
Foot
Avatar
WR
Dozie Ezukanma
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
Jacobe Hayes
Undisclosed
North Carolina Tar Heels
Thursday, Jan 15, 2026
Avatar
TE
Deems May
Undisclosed
Avatar
TE
Cort Halsey
Undisclosed
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