I have been watching this number all summer and now it's starting to move, so I'll grab the 23.5 with ODU. I'm really high on the Monarchs and QB Colton Joseph in the Sun Belt. Joseph accounted for 22 touchdowns (11 rushing, 11 passing) in eight starts last season. ODU is also strong on both lines, giving them a chance to compete with the bigger Hoosiers. Last season the Monarchs almost upset South Carolina in the opener before falling 23-19. While it may not be that close, I think ODU can stay within the big number.