Penn State has a lot to prove at 9-1 on the season, 4-0 on the road and they play Minnesota who they've lost the last two times in Minnesota. But those were much better Minnesota teams and much worse Penn State teams. This Penn State team only lost to Ohio State. They covered three of their four road games. They averaged 454 yards per game which is 15th in the nation. Minnesota has gone 7-2-1 against the spread but they haven't played any of the Big Ten heavyweights. They're living off the light schedule. Penn State covers.

I have a strange feeling about this game, but considering that Minnesota has lost only once by more than a touchdown, I'll gladly take the home underdog with the points. The Nittany Lions haven't fared well lately against top-25 scoring defenses and the Gophers rank 17th (19.7 points per game). This one will go down to the wire with the favorite likely securing a CFP berth with the close victory. Penn State 24, Minnesota 20.