Don't get me wrong, we aren't in line to see some kind of ugly 17-14 game in this spot, but I think 31-28 is far more likely than the kind of score we'll need to get over where this total is posted.

Can Texas Tech get back on track after a stinker vs. Baylor last week? The team had won four straight games and was an outside contender for a Big 12 title game berth before getting routed at home. But TCU hasn't played great all season, and even though they beat Utah on the road last week, it wasn't as if their offense did much (13 points). I expect the Red Raiders to bounce back and we're getting nearly a touchdown in the process. Texas Tech 34, TCU 28.