Was hoping this would get to 7 but now it's starting to go down, so we'll throw a small sprinkle on this number. North Texas has been great offensively but the defense has been awful. At least that D can focus solely on stopping the run this week. Navy has been backsliding as a program for a few years and its only win this year is against Wagner. (I presume the FCS school and not the group who tried to overthrow Putin.) The Middies are 5-13 at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium since 2020. Every model I check has this very close ... and some (including SL's) with UNT winning.