Illinois travels to Michigan on a two-game losing streak that has seen its best in the nation scoring defense drop to second behind the Wolverines. The Illini defense gave up 294 yards to Michigan State two weeks ago in a 23-15 home loss to the Spartans. That tied Indiana for the most points scored on Illinois this season, also in a loss. Then Purdue comes in and lights them up for 379 yards and 31 points, both season highs against the Illini. Things are trending the wrong way and a trip to Michigan is rarely the cure for what ails you. The Wolverines will roll.

Everything about this game screams Under: the No. 1 total defense (Michigan) versus the No. 2 defense (Illinois), two quarterbacks who don’t turn the ball over and two teams that have each gone Over just three times in their 10 games. The Illinois defense allows only 12.5 points per game, while Michigan allows a nation's-best 11.2. As a bonus, we get 18 mile-per-hour winds and 25-degree temperatures. Under is the top play.