There's nothing more consistent in College Football than Nick Saban's process after a loss and that's why we're riding the Under 61 here. Run the football, control the clock, play field position, no penalties and FIX THE DEFENSE. Look, I'm not even really that negative on Alabama's defense, Tennessee can do that to anyone, but that didn't stop Saban from hammering them all week after giving up 52 points. On the other side of the ball Alabama put up 49 on Tennessee so it's not like scoring was a problem, more so the pre-snap penalties. Long story short this is a get-right game for the Tide and historically it's more so accomplished with a stout defensive effort than an offensive shootout...and if Mississippi State burns a little clock running the football, even better for us. Alabama could win 49-10 and we still cash, take the Under.

Alabama coach Nick Saban doesn’t like losing, and when he does, the defense gets picked on during team meetings. The unit gets extra-focused for the next contest, and the results have seen the last six games following a straight-up loss stay Under. The Crimson Tide's last four meetings with Mississippi State have been substantial victories and covers, with all four staying Under - which is the top play for this contest.