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Expert Picks
This will be the best offense that USC has played so far this season. The over/under tells the entire story. Points will be scored by both teams. The Trojans don't have a shut-down defense and the back door will always be open (if needed). USC has a big revenge game on deck against Pac-12 rival Oregon State. The Bulldogs should be all-in knowing they have a BYE next week. Fresno State is 9-2 ATS as a road dog, while USC is 3-8 ATS as home chalk of late. The Trojans are just 1-4 ATS after scoring 40+ points. The Bulldogs are 20-8-1 ATS after a straight-up loss. The road dog checks all the boxes!
Let’s ride the Trojan train until it runs out of track. The offense has been dynamite in Lincoln Riley’s first two games as coach, while the defense already has six takeaways. Fresno State has yet to force a turnover; it might need multiple ones to cover. USC’s win over Stanford was a semi-blowout; the Cardinal made the score respectable at the end.. The Bulldogs have a history of scaring Power Five foes, but USC has been downright frightening so far.
Two excellent quarterbacks in Fresno's Jake Haener and USC's Caleb Williams, but this total is simply too high in my opinion -- I expect a final score somewhere in the mid-60s -- although I obviously like this much better at 73.5 than its open of 71 as we passed a potentially key number of 72.