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Fri 11/26 | 12:30 AM UTC | Starkville
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Ole Miss Rebels 8-2, 6-4 ATS
MISS +2
MISS +110
Over 65
Miss. State Bulldogs 6-4, 6-4 ATS
MISSST -2
MISSST -130
Under 65

Expert Picks

Ole Miss 31 @ Miss. State 21 | 11/26 | 12:30 AM UTC

UNDER 64.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: This total has risen from an opening of 61 and I frankly don't understand why. Ole Miss has not been near the same offensive team since scoring 52 on Arkansas on Oct. 9 as the Rebs are really banged up on that side of the ball, including one-time Heisman candidate QB Matt Corral. Mississippi State has generally played much better on D at home, and the rainy weather in Starkville figures to help tamp down scoring a bit. The SportsLine Projection Model has 54 points being scored -- that seems a tad low but I feel good about Under this number.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1223 45-29 IN LAST 74 CFB PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 MISS O/U PICKS

Season Splits

8-2, 6-4 ATS
6-4, 6-4 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
60%
6-4
6-4
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
2-2
2-3
40%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
33%
1-2
2-2
50%
When Spread was +5 to +4
SPREAD
When Spread was -4 to +4
50%
1-1
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
0%
0-2
1-1
50%
vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
67%
2-1
3-2
60%
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
100%
2-0
1-1
50%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
0%
0-0
6-4
60%
vs MISSST
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MISS
0%
0-0
0-0
0%