Both teams have played a similar strength of schedule (103 to 103.5), but TCU has an even yards per play while Texas Tech averages +1.8 more yards per play than its opponents. The Horned Frogs are 0-4 against the spread while the Red Raiders are 3-2 ATS and looking for revenge after losing 34-18 at TCU last season.

I don't really have a dog in this fight or care much about either school, but history has shown that TCU loses the week after facing Texas because the Horned Frogs are so jacked up for that one. In addition, this is TCU's first road game of the season and that matters. The Red Raiders are off a very solid win at West Virginia last week. It's also Homecoming in Lubbock and TTU is 19-6 in Homecoming games during the Big 12 era. The Red Raiders are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as home underdogs.