Yes, the LSU program is wading through turmoil, on and off the turf. The Tigers last played three weeks ago. Yet the spread for this matchup a year ago was 40 — yes, 40 — points. The gap has not closed that much. (LSU won by 36). Nearly all LSU players shelved by COVID-19 protocols recently were for contact tracing and should be available. Arkansas’ roster has been depleted, and this game nearly was called off. Coach Sam Pittman contracted the virus himself and missed last week’s blowout at Florida.

The Tigers have massive quarterback issues, are still dealing with a depleted roster due to COVID-19 and are on the verge of mailing it in after a disappointing season that included a horrifying story involving sexual assault this week. Yes, Arkansas’ defense got lit up like a Christmas tree last week at Florida. But the Gators are going to do that to a lot of teams. LSU isn’t equipped to do that. This one will be sloppy enough to hit the Under with ease.