Georgia is missing key playmakers as well as three starting offensive linemen. The Bulldogs are 9-3 to the Under, while Baylor had the best defense in the Big 12, allowing19.3 points per game in a high-flying conference. Look for both offenses to struggle.

SUGAR BOWL -- Georgia could have downsized planes for the team flight to New Orleans. Thirteen players — so far — have been scratched for various reasons. That includes six starters and another half-dozen in the rotation. The Bulldogs have set themselves up for another Sugar Bowl bust, one year after falling to Texas following narrowly missing out on the playoffs. Baylor is 3-0 ATS as an underdog, and coach Matt Rhule should be focused after apparently fending off feelers for NFL jobs. The Bears seek their sixth straight cover.

SUGAR BOWL -- In my opinion, Georgia and Baylor are very similar, especially on defense. I like how aggressive they are on the perimeter and how their front seven swarm to the ball. This game ultimately will come down to offense, and while both teams have the ability to run the ball, I like Baylor's passing game just a bit more than Georgia's. That will be the difference in a very tight contest.

SUGAR BOWL -- The Bulldogs will have a skeleton roster, but quarterback Jake Fromm and running back D'Andre Swift will still be on the bayou with chips on their shoulders. Baylor, like Texas last year, will pull out all of the stops to make a statement for the beleaguered Big 12 against one of the SEC's best teams. Expect both teams to get creative offensively and blaze past the total.

SUGAR BOWL -- The natural concern is that Georgia will come out flat after falling in the SEC Championship Game. I don't get that sense, though. D'Andre Swift will play in the game and will want to prove that this program can win at an elite level. On top of that, I expect the bowl practices to help this wide receiving corps become comfortable within the offense. I'll take the Bulldogs to cover in an ugly, low-scoring affair.