I liked this play on the total when it was first posted, and then I saw the weather forecast for Ames on Saturday. Winds will be howling, and that's going to have a major impact on both offenses. Take the Under.

The Cyclones are in a potential letdown spot following an epic comeback that fell one-point short against Oklahoma last week. They are well-coached so they should be prepared, but they should also expect a fight to the wire from Texas. The Longhorns overcame a 14-point deficit to beat Kansas State and keep their feint Big 12 hopes alive. Their powerful offense should be able to do some damage and their defense should get its share of stops against ISU's methodical offense. Take the points in what rates to be a one-score game.