UCLA opened its season with a 24-14 loss on the road at Cincinnati. The same Cincinnati which was then pasted 42-0 by Ohio State. UCLA, meanwhile, spent its weekend losing 23-14 to a San Diego State which struggled in a 6-0 win over Weber State to open the season. So, do you want to trust an offense averaging 3.71 yards per play (128th nationally) to cover this spread against the Oklahoma offense? I don't.

Oklahoma is humming so far with Jalen Hurts, and UCLA is coming off a loss to San Diego State, the first ever in 16 matchups. This line has moved 1.5 points already, but the Sooners are projected to win by 23 according to my simulations and are still a solid play, covering in two-thirds of my simulations. Grab the number before it gets too high.