This is a big-time game in the Sun Belt between two tremendous teams. App State is on a six game winning streak and the Mountaineers face a Troy squad that is outstanding versus the run. The Trojans, in addition to their stellar defense, are excellent on offense. QB Brandon Silvers has played great all season long. If you stop App State’s run game, you effectively stop App State. That’s exactly what Troy is going to do.

Troy is undefeated at home, and I give the Trojans the edge in this matchup of teams on six-game win streaks. Despite Appalachian State's 2-0 record versus Troy, my simulations show Troy winning this one 62 percent of the time.