The line has dropped from Florida -10.5 to -9.5 against Iowa in the second round of the NCAA tournament in Tampa. That's good news for me because I was going to lay 10.5. Iowa had 12 losses on the season and wilted against top-level competition. They lost to ordinary Ohio State in the Big Ten Tournament. They lost their last three games of the regular season, including at Penn State, where they were a 9.5-point favorite. Florida does not shoot threes that well, but they don't need to with that big lineup inside. They will outmuscle and outperform Iowa. Florida covers.