Gonzaga did a good job of holding Saint Mary's to one of least efficient offensive outings of the season in an 8-point Zags win back on Jan. 31. But the question here is whether the same can be expected in Moraga, where the building will be buzzing for SMC's chances to clinch a share of the WCC title before Gonzaga bolts for the Pac-12. Randy Bennett has not been swept by Gonzaga in the regular season since 2020-21, and the Gaels have earned at least a share of the last three conference titles. This has been one of the great late-night rivalries of the modern era, so expecting a classic I love the value of the home dog.

Jumping on this line early as I wouldn't be surprised if the Gaels turned the favorite as the game gets closer. St. Mary's is 16-0 at home this season, is on a seven game winning streak, and will be a tough out in the NCAA Tournament. Since 2024, Randy Bennett's team has beaten Mark Few and the 'Zags 4 of the last 7 times they've played. With a raucous crowd on Senior Day in Moraga, I think the Gaels win this game by 5-7 points.