Simulation Picks
SPREAD
FSU @ DAYTON
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MONEYLINE
FSU @ DAYTON
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OVER / UNDER
FSU @ DAYTON
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PUBLIC
MONEY
PUBLIC
MONEY
Over46%
PUBLIC
Under54%
Over
MONEY
Under
Understanding Public and Money
Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.
Expert Picks
Over/UnderUnder 165.5 -112
LOSS
Unit1.0
+240
4-1 in Last 5 NCAAB O/U Picks
Matt's Analysis:
Think this number has reached a peak. Home teams generally dictate tempo, and that's what I'm counting on here as Dayton generally plays games in the 140s or 150s -- the Flyers allow 71.0 PPG. Florida State will want to push tempo but was held to 76 points in its lone true road game and also held in check by good defensive teams like Texas A&M (FSU scored 59 points) and Houston (scored 67). Our model -- I look for totals -- has 154 points scored.
Pick Made: Dec 16, 2:31 pm UTC on BetRivers
Team Injuries
Florida State Seminoles
Tuesday, Mar 03, 2026

G
Kobe MaGee
Undisclosed

F
Alier Maluk
Undisclosed
Friday, Feb 20, 2026

G
Xavier Osceola
Hip
Dayton Flyers
Tuesday, Mar 03, 2026

G
Sean Pouedet
Undisclosed
Tuesday, Feb 24, 2026

G
Evan Dickey
Undisclosed
Monday, Feb 09, 2026

G
Jaron McKie
Shoulder
