I'm going to gamble that this number. If anything, it goes down. We have been riding Sparty unders for weeks and no reason to stop now. State coming off a long layoff with not much to prove and could be a slow start. I've seen a lot of unders and slow starts in general in these tourneys. Sparty under in 7 of 8 and 11 of 14; their last 10 unders all went under by 7.5 points or more. Oregon's defense improved significantly down the stretch and they are under in 6 of 7 and have allowed 64 or less in 3 of 4.