App State is taking the second fewest shots in the conference and slowing everything down, forcing teams on the road to play at their place. They've played 7 straight road unders - average close to 136 (under by 16.6/G). They have only 3 road overs this season and all were out of conference This game went over at App State but I doubt it here. They are allowing Sun Belt teams to shoot just 39%. GSO is 10th in conference in FG%. They are over 4 in row, but App State allowing 30% from 3 in conference. Not unusual for them to strangle games around 110 points on the road. I'm riding with the defensive trend winning out here.