Though a loser in five of six, the Nittany Lions have been competitive in almost every outing, and at 13-7 still fancy themselves a chance to make the Dance. Five of their seven losses have come by six points or fewer. Mike Rhoades is hopeful that frontliner Puff Johnson will be available after sitting out the past week with a hand injury, but there are five other DD scorers available led by G Ace Baldwin (14.3 ppg). Meanwhile the Wolverines have hit a bit of a lull with losses in 2 of 3 (and no spread covers that span) as the defense in particular has sagged, with Purdue hitting 55% FGs in last Friday's Boilermakers romp. Play Penn State

Michigan's going through a rough patch in their last three where they lost two on the road and didn't cover any of them. Penn State has lost five of their last six but they covered their last four. Michigan has gone over the total in their last eight games. Both these teams shoot the ball great with Michigan coming in at 50% which is 8th in the nation and they both score 83 points a game. This is a spot where Michigan at home plays an inferior team and wins by 10 or more.