This line is dropping, which indicates sharpshooter Chance McMillian (hip) might not play. Big man Warren Washington also is banged up for the Red Raiders. But the atmosphere will be incredible -- Texas Tech students have been camping out for days for tickets -- in support of a team that's 14-1 at home. Texas Tech has covered five straight meetings with the Longhorns, who have not been able to get Max Abmas going lately. He's 7 of 32 over the last three games. Texas has been held under 70 points in four of its last five. I bet the host Red Raiders despite the injury questions.

Nothing better than getting a short favorite back at home after a disappointing road loss. Texas Tech had one of its worst performances of the season in a 14-point defeat at UCF on Saturday, falling apart down the stretch as the Knights went on a 20-3 run during the final 10 minutes. Grant McCasland will have his group much sharper tonight at home, where the Red Raiders are 14-1 this season with wins against Kansas, TCU and BYU among others.

Neither of these teams have been covering much ATS, but I do think Texas is getting too many points against a very up and down Texas Tech team. Texas has had a brutal schedule as of late which resulting in some lopsided losses and I think that his affecting the spread a bit too much. Kenpom has these two teams very similarly rated and while Texas Tech blew out Kansas at home earlier this month, they only narrowly beat TCU at home eight days later (a game Texas Tech probably should have lost). I think we are looking at a game which resembles the TCU game with Texas pouring in enough points to cover or get the outright win.