Dayton already has a slight edge on both ends of the floor in terms of efficiency numbers, and SJU's defense against conference teams has declined compared to non-con competition. Dayton is the better 3-pt shooting team (39.4%, 7th nationally) and free throw-shooting team (74.2%). It's also stingy in giving up fouls, ranking 6th in the nation in defensive FT rate. Back the Flyers as they look for the solo lead in the top-heavy A10 conference. (And a plug for the mothership -- You can watch this one on CBS Sports Network.)

St. Joseph's is returning all five starters from last year's team. Last year's squad was eliminated by Dayton in the first round of the Atlantic-10 tournament, losing 60-54 as 10.5-point underdogs. This defeat ended the Hawks' season. Additionally, Dayton will have a chance to avenge their loss against VCU in the A-10 title game from last season on Friday. The Flyers are facing a tough look-ahead spot in this double revenge angle. I like the home team in this spot!