St. Bonaventure might be in a letdown spot coming off a huge home win against VCU from earlier in the week. The Bonnies rallied from a 20-point first half deficit and win a game where they didn't have their best stuff. Now the bill comes due against Dayton, one of the best three-point shooting teams in the country, in the Flyers' house. I like Anthony Grant's team to win comfortably, maybe even by double-digits.

We have watched enough of St Bonaventure to know that it is best to back the Bonnies when they play at home in Olean. Not the road, where they've lost three straight on the A-10 trail since an early January win at VCU. The offense was unassertive in recent road losses at George Mason and Duquesne, shooting 35% from the floor in the former and just 27% in the latter, including just 2 of 13 beyond the arc. Meanwhile Dayton and Richmond are having their own battle atop the loop, and note 6-10 F DaRon Holmes II has scored 21 or more for the Flyers in five of their last six games...the exception a subpar 9 points in last Saturday's Spiders loss. Play Dayton