Big Ten sources are adamant there isn't that much of class difference between these sides. Though 7-4 Zach Edey is a problematic matchup for anyone, the Boilermakers are not as especially big team, particularly on the perimeter, where the Hawkeyes have a decided height advantage and might cause matchup concern for Matt Painter. Fran McCaffery's 6-9 Valpo transfer Ben Krikke (18.7 ppg) making a seamless transition from the Missouri Valley and one of five Iowa DD scorers. The Hawks score almost 91 ppg and shoots close to 50% from the floor, and rarely gets blown out, so there are lots of ways for Iowa to stay within a number this high. Play Iowa

My simulations make this total 157. I'm on the Under thanks to a good defensive performance from Purdue.