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    Sun 03/19 | 10:10 PM UTC | Albany
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Saint Mary's Gaels 27-7, 19-13 ATS
    MARYCA +4.5-110
    MARYCA +170
    Over 126.5-110
    UConn Huskies 30-8, 26-12 ATS
    UCONN -4.5-110
    UCONN -205
    Under 126.5-110

    Expert Picks

    CBB | Saint Mary's 55 @ UConn 70 | 03/19 | 10:10 PM UTC

    UConn -190

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Will be essentially a UConn home game in Albany and a second straight game vs. a Gaels opponent. The Huskies handled a good Iona team in Round 1 and has been rolling since the end of January for the most part. UConn is the way more athletic team and better offensively, and SMC struggled with good offensive teams that have an athleticism advantage in the past with one loss to New Mexico and two against Gonzaga. UConn is 0-5 this year when allowing teams to make 47% or more of their shots, but it's hard to see SMC getting that high as the Gaels made just 41% from the field against VCU and that's generally about where they land.

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +2021 174-111-1 IN LAST 286 CBB PICKS
    +1001 112-64 IN LAST 176 CBB ML PICKS
    +300 3-0 IN LAST 3 UCONN ML PICKS

    Season Splits

    27-7, 19-13 ATS
    30-8, 26-12 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    58%
    18-13-2
    22-12
    64%
    On Road or Neutral
    LOCATION
    On Road or Neutral
    53%
    8-7-1
    11-6
    64%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    50%
    2-2
    20-12
    62%
    When Spread was +2 to +6
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -6 to -2
    0%
    0-1
    5-5
    50%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    Favored on Road or Neutral
    50%
    2-2
    9-6
    60%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    58%
    7-5
    11-6
    64%
    vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
    83%
    5-1
    8-2
    80%
    After <4 Days Off
    REST
    After <4 Days Off
    62%
    10-6
    9-5
    64%
    vs UCONN
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs MARYCA
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%