SMU is one of the best road teams in the country when it comes to hitting over lines. Away from home, their games have gone over 11 of 14 times, which seems like a good formula for Sunday's matchup against a Cincinnati team that averages more than 77 points per game. Watch Early Edge on SportsLine's YouTube page at 10 a.m. ET on Sunday morning as I explain this pick further...

It's the Bearcats' Senior Day, and they should take care of 10-20 SMU. But the Mustangs can keep this respectable. They lost the first meeting with Cincinnati 54-52 in Dallas, as Zhuric Phelps (17.4 ppg) endured one of his worst games. SMU's record could be prettier, too; the Mustangs have lost eight games by five or fewer points. Look for the underdog in this series to improve to 5-1 ATS in the last six matchups.