There's probably a bit of an over reaction in the market to have such a high number in such an important game. These teams are some of the best that didn't make it to the big dance. They can both shoot well, but defense is what fuels a tournament run. The winner's next game is held at MSG of all places, so make no mistake, it's very serious at this point in the NIT. To me, that means buckets are at a premium. Texas A&M has gone Under the last three straight after a 23-10 O/U prior. The Aggies have been locking it down and keeping opponents below 65 points, they should play strong on the defensive side again tonight. I'm on the contrarian Under.

The Aggies have won nine of 10, the loss coming in the SEC title game to Tennessee, and they're 15-4 at home after dispatching Oregon 75-60 in the NIT second round. They host a Wake Forest team that's impressive offensively but is just 5-5 away from home. The Demon Deacons have a size advantage here. They are prone to turnovers, however, ranking 282nd with 13.7 per game. Texas A&M ranks 11th nationally in forcing 16.5 turnovers per game. In the previous round, VCU caused 15 Wake Forest turnovers but shot 40.4 percent in a six-point loss. Look for the Aggies to be more efficient offensively and take advantage of those extra possessions.