Indiana blew a 22-point lead to Wisconsin in the first meeting, but I think this one ends differently. In that December matchup, the Hoosiers didn't have their best wing defender, Trey Gallo, available to cover Johnny Davis. The Hoosiers are playing at Assembly Hall, desperate to break a three-game skid that has imperiled their NCAA Tournament hopes, Back Indiana to improve to 10-1 ATS in its last 11 as a home favorite.

Indiana has lost three straight games (two of which came on the road) and desperately needs a win to keep its resume intact for March Madness. Assembly Hall is one of the toughest places to play, and I love the spot here for the Hoosiers. These two teams met earlier in the season, with Indiana blowing a 22-point lead at Wisconsin, which makes this a revenge spot. After this game, Indiana travels to Ohio State while Wisconsin has a big one at home against Michigan. Laying just over a possession, Indiana saves its resume entering the end of the season with a win.