This line feels too small to me and my model agrees, I'm projecting this one at 15.5 points for Wagner and see value taking them at home against a weaker team like Merrimack. Wagner is by far the best team in this conference and has been playing like a top 100 school with a 17-2 record to show for their hard work. Merrimack has covered in just 1 of their last 8 games and Wagner already beat them by 14 this year. Jeff Sagarin's Recent Play Rating notably projects this game at 22 points. I'll grab the value at 12.5.