These teams are trending in opposite directions. The Bonnies are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games, including 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three road games. The Billikens are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games. The Billikens are the much better team and should be favored by more. I am expecting the Billikens to dominate this game on both sides of the court and easily cover this spread.

My model is projecting this as a 9 point win for the Billikens. Saint Louis is a top 50 team by most rankings and St Bonaventure is just inside the top 100. Saint Louis is undefeated at home in conference play and just faced a 4.5 point spread at home against Dayton and won by 11. I think a similar result is in store for this evening, the Bonnies have struggled a bit this year and are vulnerable in the conference. Bonaventure has covered in just 3 of the last 15 games they've played. I like the modest home favorite to cover in this one.

The Billikens have won six straight and have not lost at home in conference play. This is a more explosive Saint Louis team than we're used to seeing. Gibson Jimerson (17.2 ppg) and Yuri Collins (11.5 ppg, 8.4 apg) key an offense that leads the conference in scoring (79.4). The Billikens also lead the A-10 in free-throw shooting (77.5 percent), which could come in handy late. The Bonnies have lost their last three A-10 road games, by 10 to Richmond, by nine to George Mason and by 18 to Dayton. They're on a 3-12 ATS swoon. Despite Osun Osunniyi's imposing presence in the middle, I'll back the home team to improve to 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.